Дом Новости Прогноз продаж Nintendo Switch 2 на 2025 год раскрыт

Прогноз продаж Nintendo Switch 2 на 2025 год раскрыт

Автор : Camila Обновлять : Jan 07,2026

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Отраслевой анализ прогнозирует, что Switch 2 продаст 4,3 миллиона единиц в США в течение 2025 года при условии выпуска в первой половине года.
Хотя от Switch 2 ожидают сильных результатов, PS5 может по-прежнему лидировать по продажам консолей в США.
Потребительский интерес к Nintendo Switch 2 значителен, однако его коммерческий успех будет зависеть от сроков выхода, возможностей аппаратного обеспечения и конкурентоспособности игровой библиотеки.

По словам игрового аналитика Мэта Пискателлы, продажи Nintendo Switch 2 в 2025 году прогнозируются на уровне примерно 4,3 миллиона единиц. Для сравнения, оригинальная Nintendo Switch к концу 2017 года была продана в количестве 4,8 миллиона единиц, что превысило первоначальные прогнозы компании. Чтобы удовлетворить огромный потребительский спрос в то время, Nintendo доставила дополнительные консоли Switch на рынок авиаперевозками. Многие надеются, что с тех пор Nintendo усовершенствовала планирование цепочки поставок, чтобы лучше справляться с аналогичными всплесками спроса на новую консоль.

Нетерпеливые геймеры продолжают ждать официального анонса следующей системы Nintendo. Switch 2 регулярно становится трендом в социальных сетях из-за широкого ожидания, хотя этот онлайн-ажиотаж может не коррелировать напрямую с продажами. Несколько критических факторов, вероятно, определят рыночные показатели консоли в 2025 году, если она выйдет в том году. Сроки выхода и сила стартовой игровой линейки представляются особенно важными.

Видеоигровой аналитик Circana Мэт Пискателла прогнозирует продажи Switch 2 в США на уровне 4,3 миллиона единиц в 2025 году, при условии, что консоль будет выпущена в первой половине года. Многие отраслевые наблюдатели ожидают релиза Switch 2 к апрелю 2025 года, чтобы воспользоваться летним сезоном покупок и японским праздничным периодом «Золотой недели», которые традиционно являются сильными для продаж консолей.

Аналитик прогнозирует продажи 4,3 млн Switch 2 в 2025 году

При том, что официальный анонс, кажется, не за горами (хотя ничего не известно наверняка), мои прогнозы показывают, что следующее аппаратное обеспечение Nintendo продаст 4,3 миллиона единиц в США в течение 2025 года (при условии выпуска в первой половине года). Это составит около одной трети всех проданных единиц аппаратного обеспечения игровых консолей за год (за исключением портативных ПК-устройств).— Мат Пискателла (@matpiscatella.bsky.social) 2025-01-08T16:09:43.754Z

Пискателла далее пояснил, что ожидает, что Switch 2 займёт примерно одну треть всех продаж единиц игрового аппаратного обеспечения в США, исключая портативные ПК-системы, такие как Steam Deck и ROG Ally. Он также ожидает возможных ограничений поставок для Switch 2 после волны первоначального высокого спроса, хотя и не уверен в том, какие производственные мощности зарезервировала Nintendo. Компания могла заранее накопить компоненты, чтобы избежать дефицита продукции, который сопровождал запуск оригинального Switch и PS5.

Хотя Пискателла ожидает стабильных продаж Switch 2, он прогнозирует, что PlayStation 5 сохранит позицию самой продаваемой игровой консоли в США. Несмотря на то, что Switch 2 пользуется значительным потребительским интересом, у PS5 впереди несколько крупных релизов, включая долгожданную Grand Theft Auto VI, запланированную на 2025 год. Подобные эксклюзивные титулы могут стимулировать значительные продажи аппаратного обеспечения для платформы Sony. Тем не менее, если Switch 2 выйдет с впечатляющими аппаратными характеристиками и убедительной игровой библиотекой, он всё же может стать лидером рынка.

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